Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)At the end of new york on Wednesday (December 11th), the main contract of CME bitcoin futures BTC was $102,000, up 5.44% from the end of new york on Tuesday. The main contract of CME ethereum futures DCR was reported at $3,855.00, up 4.70% from Tuesday."The number of accounts opened exceeds expectations" is a general evaluation of the pilot situation of personal pension in the industry. Starting with the announcement of the pilot list of 36 cities (regions) on November 25th, 2022, by the end of June 2023, in less than one year, the number of people opening individual pension accounts has reached 40.3 million, and by the end of June 2024, the number of people opening individual pension accounts in China has exceeded 60 million. (Securities Times)
New york gold futures rose by 1.3% and stood at $2,750 on the release date of US CPI inflation data. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), spot gold rose by 0.89% to $2,718.31/ounce, and the refresh date at 13:05 Beijing time was as low as $2,675.69-a short-term V-shaped reversal occurred, and the US CPI data failed to break around $2,695 earlier in the day. After the US Treasury Department disclosed the results of the 10-year benchmark bond at 02:00, the daily refresh rate reached $2,721.14, which stood on the 50-day moving average for two consecutive trading days (the technical index was temporarily reported at $2,669.93). Spot silver was roughly flat at $31.9030 per ounce. COMEX gold futures rose by 1.29% to $2,753.60 per ounce, and rose to $2,759.70 at 23:42, which was on the rise all day. COMEX silver futures rose 0.15% to $32.795 an ounce. COMEX copper futures fell 0.23% to $4.2620/lb.Fund researchers bluntly said: the era of monetary fund lying and winning is over. Shanghai thought that unnamed fund researchers bluntly said that the era of monetary fund lying and winning is over. A person from a fund company in South China said that the continuous decline in the yield of money funds means that the impact of rates is becoming more and more important. Since the beginning of this year, many money funds have announced fee reductions. Wang Menghan, an analyst at Zheshang Securities, said that compared with similar products, the advantages of money funds are tax exemption, liquidity and stable net value. Among them, for institutional customers, there are still tax exemption and liquidity demands, so there is little demand for reducing the holdings of money funds. However, for non-institutional investors, because the stability of the net value of the money fund will be obviously weakened, there is a demand to reduce the holdings of the money fund. (SSE)Market information: Israeli air strikes targeted the Palestinian people carrying security aid trucks in Rafah, causing medical casualties.
In recent years, the installed capacity of new energy generation in China has increased rapidly, and the demand for new energy storage and other regulatory resources has also increased. The energy storage development track is competing with each other, and the total output value of the industry will reach trillion level. In many new energy storage routes, lithium-ion batteries occupy more than 90% of the energy storage, and they are firmly in the first place; All-vanadium redox flow battery has high hopes because of its advantages of high safety, long life and expansibility, and has a good application prospect in the field of large-scale energy storage. This year, Sichuan Province issued the first national special policy to support the development of vanadium battery industry, Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province put forward the vision of building "China Vanadium Power Capital", and the demonstration project of all-vanadium liquid energy storage power station with commercial lease mode was launched here. In November, the project completed the bidding for the procurement of all-vanadium flow battery equipment, which has benchmarking significance for the integration and development of vanadium energy storage industry and financial services industry. (Securities Times)Brazil raised the benchmark lending rate by 100 basis points to 12.25%. Brazil's central bank expects the next two meetings to raise interest rates by the same amount.The two-wheel drive robot industry in the policy market is welcoming the expansion period. The reporter was informed that many places have successively issued relevant policies for the development of the robot industry, planned development goals, and refined measures around improving basic innovation capabilities, accelerating the demonstration application of "robot+"innovation, and promoting the accelerated agglomeration of business entities to accelerate the innovation and development of the robot industry. Recently, Hangzhou released the Development Plan of Humanoid Robot Industry in Hangzhou (2024-2029). Chongqing, Nanjing, Sichuan Tianfu New District and other places have also issued relevant policies to promote the development of the robot industry, and based on the current situation and advantages of industrial development in various regions, promote the further development of the robot industry. Gao Chao, deputy general manager of CCID Consulting Advanced Manufacturing Research Center, said that the scale of China's robot industry is expected to grow to about 400 billion yuan during the Tenth Five-Year Plan period. While accelerating the overall development level of the robot industry, building an industrial innovation system and strengthening product application and promotion have also become the focus of multi-party efforts. Policy and market two-wheel drive have further opened up the development space for robot-related enterprises. (Economic Information Daily)
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide